focustools

Installation

Install from GitHub as follows:

# install.packages("devtools")
devtools::install_github("signaturescience/focustools", build_vignettes = FALSE)

Usage

To get started, see the package vignette:

vignette("focustools")

COVID-19 Forecast Hub submissions

focustools was originally developed to generate forecasts of COVID-19 targets in the United States. The package includes functionality to prepare forecast output for submission to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub. The focustools GitHub repository includes a submission/ directory with select forecast submission files. That same directory tracks a pipeline R script that does the following:

  1. Retrieves historical observed count data (national level from JHU by default)
  2. Fits incident case and incident death models
  3. Forecasts future case data to facilitate the incident death forecast
  4. Creates the incident death forecast based on this new data
  5. Generates cumulative death forecast by summarizing incident death forecast
  6. Prepares submission format
  7. Savse the submission to submission/TEAM-MODEL/YYYY-MM-DD-TEAM-MODEL.csv
  8. Validates the submission file